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自分の好きな4桁の数字を選んで購入する「ナンバーズ4」。
他の宝くじと比べて、総通り数が少なく、ナンバーズ3の次に当たりやすい宝くじと言われています。
だからと言って、簡単に当たるかというと、そうではなく、当サイトでも毎回予想を行なっておりますが、なかなか当たらないのが現状です。
そこで、今回はナンバーズ4がどれほどの確率で当たるのかを調べてみました。
当選数字が「●◎▲×」（全てが違う数字）の場合
| ストレート | ●◎▲× | 1/10000 |
| ボックス | ●◎▲×、●◎×▲、●▲◎×、●▲×◎、●×◎▲、●×▲◎、◎●▲×、◎●×▲、◎▲●×、◎▲×●、◎×●▲、◎×▲●、▲●◎×、▲●×◎、▲◎●×、▲◎×●、▲×●◎、▲×◎●、×●◎▲、×●▲◎、×◎●▲、×◎▲●、×▲●◎、×▲◎● | 3/1250 |
| セット（ストレート） | ●◎▲× | 1/10000 |
| セット（ボックス） | ●◎×▲、●▲◎×、●▲×◎、●×◎▲、●×▲◎、◎●▲×、◎●×▲、◎▲●×、◎▲×●、◎×●▲、◎×▲●、▲●◎×、▲●×◎、▲◎●×、▲◎×●、▲×●◎、▲×◎●、×●◎▲、×●▲◎、×◎●▲、×◎▲●、×▲●◎、×▲◎● | 23/10000 |
ナンバーズ3よりは、当選確率が低いですが、他の宝くじと比べるとかなり当たりやすい事が分ります。
さらに、当選金についてもストレートで100万円程度当たるので、夢もあります。
当選数字が「●●▲×」（2つが同じ数字）の場合
| ストレート | ●●▲× | 1/10000 |
| ボックス | ●●▲×、●●×▲、●▲●×、●▲×●、●×●▲、●×▲●、▲●●×、▲●×●、▲×●●、×●●▲、×●▲●、×▲●● | 3/2500 |
| セット（ストレート） | ●●▲× | 1/10000 |
| セット（ボックス） | ●●×▲、●▲●×、●▲×●、●×●▲、●×▲●、▲●●×、▲●×●、▲×●●、×●●▲、×●▲●、×▲●● | 11/10000 |
ご覧の通り、全てを違う数字で買った時よりも、当選確率が下がる結果となりました。
ですので、当選率を上げたいのであれば、全て違う数字の組み合わせを購入する事をお勧めします。
ただ、当選確率が低い分、当選金はこちらの方が多くなりやすいメリットもあります。
当選数字が「●●●×」（3つが同じ数字）の場合
| ストレート | ●●●× | 1/10000 |
| ボックス | ●●●×、●●×●、●×●●、×●●● | 1/2500 |
| セット（ストレート） | ●●●× | 1/10000 |
| セット（ボックス） | ●●×●、●×●●、×●●● | 3/10000 |
2つが同じ数字を買った時よりもさらに、当選確率が下がる結果となりました。
もちろん、当選金は上がりますが、過去の当選結果を見てもかなり稀なので、この組み合わせは捨てても問題ないと思います。
当選数字が「●●××」（2つずつが同じ数字）の場合
| ストレート | ●●×× | 1/10000 |
| ボックス | ●●××、●×●×、●××●、×●●×、×●×●、××●● | 3/5000 |
| セット（ストレート） | ●●×× | 1/10000 |
| セット（ボックス） | ●×●×、●××●、×●●×、×●×●、××●● | 1/2000 |
3つが同じ数字を買った時よりは、当選確率が上がりましたが、低いことには変わりありません。
ただ、たまに見かける組み合わせなので、ストレートは厳しいですが、ボックスだと可能性が高く、高額配当も期待できるかもしれません。
当選数字が「●●●●」（全てが同じ数字）の場合
当選数字が全て同じ数字の場合は説明するまでもありませんが、1/10000となります。
もちろん、ボックスでの当選もございません。
あまりにも確率が低いので、オススメはしませんが、絶対に来ないとも言えません。
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